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CA-23 House Race 2026 (California)
The markets' leading names: Jay Obernolte, Tessa Lynn Hodge.
Prediction markets
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- Jay Obernolte96%▼1
- Tessa Lynn Hodge2%▼2
Prediction-market prices show what traders are paying for each outcome, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Republican, can move fast and can be wrong. Not betting or investment advice.
In the news
- Jay Obernolte’s congressional seat was supposed to be safe. Why is the race so close?
Rep. Jay Obernolte, R-Hesperia, has long been a quiet legislative workhorse, known for working across the aisle in Sacramento and then being one of Congress’ leading experts on AI. When California’s congressional districts were redrawn in…
- November 2026 Election Early Results
In the Morongo Basin, school board, city council, and water district seats were on the ballot, along with a sales tax measure in Twentynine Palms (Measure G), which appears that it will pass. Measure I, an existing county-wide half-cent…
- Incumbents cruise – with some glaring exceptions – in LA County’s Congressional races
The two outstanding races include District 23, where Republican Rep. Jay Obernolte maintained a slight lead over Democrat Tessa Lynn Hodge in a district that primarily covers the Inland Empire and Kern County but which also includes a…
- Whitesides wins; mayor to be elected
Two Congressmen representing the Antelope Valley appear to have cruised to an easy reelection and Palmdale voters approved for a measure to elect a mayor, starting in November 2028, as part of the wide-ranging election Tuesday. The results…
- Election results: LA County’s congressional races
Voting has ended for the Nov. 3 general election, and although it will take a while for enough ballots to be counted for the outcomes of some races to be determined, one thing we do know is that there will be at least two new faces joining…
- Trump backlash has turned California bluer than ever — but there’s a glimmer of hope for Republicans
Tuesday’s blue wave hit California hard, sweeping away Republican candidates, congressional seats, and hopes of making gains. Already a heavily Democratic state, California is delivering to Republicans another ugly election. My take? This…
- Way, Way Too Big to Steal
What were the most exciting moments of the blue wave? GOP circles Hegseth as Congress stirs to life. Up to the very last minute on Tuesday, news was breaking about various attempts by Donald Trump’s DOJ to interfere in the election. Glenn…
- Democrats plan a wave of AI and data-center bills when they take Congress in January 2027
Bills on electricity costs, independent AI testing and corporate liability would mark a sharp turn from the Republican-led Congress Democrats are preparing to introduce a long list of artificial intelligence bills once they take control of…
- Fontana mayor leading in reelection bid
San Bernardino Sun Fontana Mayor Acquanetta Warren was leading in her bid for reelection after Tuesday’s General Election, results posted Wednesday by the San Bernardino County Registrar of Voters showed. Warren led a field of seven…
- Tech policy coalition calls for new Congress to set AI safety standards
The Chamber of Progress, a center-left tech industry policy coalition, is calling on the 2027 Democratic Congress to establish federal artificial intelligence safety standards. In a Nov. 4 memo to House and Senate Democratic leadership…
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